The man that stirred the pot and threw hot sauce in the sunday dinner has now set out to launch a career in blogging. He has had his readers to question the truth of subjects from a-z at state & federal policy, and media news from bi-partsian to nonpartsian ideas and beliefs. So read on and question what you see, hear, touch, and tatse!

Sunday, September 26, 2004

Google

Pollsters and You!




Polls bi - partsian or just buy $$$$$$$$$?




Being this is my first blog I wanted to first welcome everyone that has the privilege to take this journey with me! Also would like to start off with something a little controversial and get you to ask your self a few questions. Should I pay attention to what's is shown to me? Not, only that if I chose to watch or listen or read certain information political, environmenta,l or even artistically should I take it for the truth or take it as is or even with a grain of salt?


The subject I am going to talk about now is polls and their accuracy and their source of information. As some people know polls are done by a few ways for a bunch of different things like presidential elections and local elections in my town and any place in America and out of America. The some what little known fact is who are these people and who accurate are they. We definitely ask that question when the point of view we want to achieve doesn't work out! And then we pray that's accurate when it does. Then we hope those pollsters are right a voting day! What is little known is the questions, the pollsters themselves and the people they poll. The difference in a word can make a huge difference on a pollie answer. For example if I ask you that if you Want to increase taxes? You'd probably say NO. But if I ask you if you wanted to increase taxes for education? You might considerate it. Therefore getting the an answer that might be favorable to whom is wanting me to poll. And the sad thing is some people might vote of just that poll. Now the other is who do they call to get those answers it not as random as you think. They I know for a fact don't poll just anyone of course you have to registered and if it's your first time voting chances are you are not going to get called. Even that sad they touch on such a small # of people you or I probably wouldn't get called anyways. And since is it right for a few to make a decision for us All? I mean the latest gallop didn't call me or probably even you to potental declare a man a winner in a election that even hasn't taken place yet? So what should you do when you see that next poll its really up to you but ask yourself the question did I get ask to take part in this poll?

3 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

I work for a polling firm in Portland. We conduct what are called Omnibus polls (where all kinds of issues of concern to Maine citizens are presented), tracking polls, and so on. How we do it is, we have long lists of random telephone numbers that are available from the telephone company, but we also use computer programs that generate random and/or consecutive numbers and simply call down the list until we find people to agree to take the poll. The numbers contain business phones, residences, etc. There are frequent Not-In-Service numbers, for instance.

We do not know who we are calling. There are no names beside the numbers we use. We do not use telephone directories. We do not know if the interviewee is Republican, Democrat or Independent, so the surveys are as pristine as possible. My experience has been that a great many people think that we are telemarketers and refuse the call. You may have been one of those called, but didn't take the time to listen to the interviewer's introductory statement before you hung up the phone. I cannot count the times some bonehead has gotten angry and said, "Take us off the list! I signed up for that telemarketer Do Not Call List and you aren't supposed to call me!" Nine times out of ten I'm not given enough time to tell the person that, as a public opinion pollster, not a telemarketer who is trying to sell them something, they are not on any "list." They are just one of thousands of random numbers.

I usually call in the late afternoons to early evenings (ending around 8PM). Often, people are not willing to be interviewed because they have something VERY IMPORTANT that they are doing at the time, like eating their FUCKING dinner, watching some stupid FUCKING program on television; like, for instance, Fox News, where the right-wing junk "pundits" babble on about the latest polling numbers.

Our demographics requirements are ALWAYS balanced. They are broken down into counties and towns in Maine based on population and, as they say, "likely voters," which basically means, "Are you registered to vote in such-and-such a town in Maine?" and "Do you plan on voting in the upcoming election?" We never ask with which political party they are currently registered to vote until the end of the interview. All of these surveys are collected and counted at the end of the evening.

If you haven't been called yet for a poll, the reason is probably that we've filled your town's demographic requirements for likely voters. Let's say we need fifty likely voters from your town; well, if we've reached that quota before your number came up, then we didn't get your opinion this time, but most likely we'll get it down the road sometime.

Finally, my feeling on polls is this: DO NOT believe the polls. For what it's worth, I suppose they serve some timely service, but, generally, respondents to polls are a moody, suspicious,impatient bunch who would rather get back to watching some idiot like Sean Hannity of Fox News TALK about the polls than actually participate in one.

Mo' later, thanks.

September 28, 2004 at 1:02 PM

 
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I work for a polling firm in Portland. We conduct what are called Omnibus polls (where all kinds of issues of concern to Maine citizens are presented), tracking polls, and so on. How we do it is, we have long lists of random telephone numbers that are available from the telephone company, but we also use computer programs that generate random and/or consecutive numbers and simply call down the list until we find people to agree to take the poll. The numbers contain business phones, residences, etc. There are frequent Not-In-Service numbers, for instance.

We do not know who we are calling. There are no names beside the numbers we use. We do not use telephone directories. We do not know if the interviewee is Republican, Democrat or Independent, so the surveys are as pristine as possible. My experience has been that a great many people think that we are telemarketers and refuse the call. You may have been one of those called, but didn't take the time to listen to the interviewer's introductory statement before you hung up the phone. I cannot count the times some bonehead has gotten angry and said, "Take us off the list! I signed up for that telemarketer Do Not Call List and you aren't supposed to call me!" Nine times out of ten I'm not given enough time to tell the person that, as a public opinion pollster, not a telemarketer who is trying to sell them something, they are not on any "list." They are just one of thousands of random numbers.

I usually call in the late afternoons to early evenings (ending around 8PM). Often, people are not willing to be interviewed because they have something VERY IMPORTANT that they are doing at the time, like eating their FUCKING dinner, watching some stupid FUCKING program on television; like, for instance, Fox News, where the right-wing junk "pundits" babble on about the latest polling numbers.

Our demographics requirements are ALWAYS balanced. They are broken down into counties and towns in Maine based on population and, as they say, "likely voters," which basically means, "Are you registered to vote in such-and-such a town in Maine?" and "Do you plan on voting in the upcoming election?" We never ask with which political party they are currently registered to vote until the end of the interview. All of these surveys are collected and counted at the end of the evening.

If you haven't been called yet for a poll, the reason is probably that we've filled your town's demographic requirements for likely voters. Let's say we need fifty likely voters from your town; well, if we've reached that quota before your number came up, then we didn't get your opinion this time, but most likely we'll get it down the road sometime.

Finally, my feeling on polls is this: DO NOT believe the polls. For what it's worth, I suppose they serve some timely service, but, generally, respondents to polls are a moody, suspicious,impatient bunch who would rather get back to watching some idiot like Sean Hannity of Fox News TALK about the polls than actually participate in one.

Mo' later, thanks.

September 28, 2004 at 1:03 PM

 
Blogger Conviction said...

I am glad They posted the information. I know what they mean I had a x that worked at critcal insights in portland and they do a variety of different things for polls and the funny thing is people pay for some weird info.I was a outbound telemarkter as well so I now the struggle to do your job my friend! Thanks for your feedback and keep it going trudge that road.

conviction

September 28, 2004 at 3:20 PM

 

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